$MSTY ETF Investment Simulator

View Comprehensive Guide Value 4 Value

Simulate your investment returns over time

Investment Parameters

Enter the price you paid per share (optional). If left blank, the simulator assumes a default starting price of $20.00 per share.
Use decimal format (e.g., 0.15 = +15%, -0.05 = -5%)
Simulations include monthly market volatility to reflect realistic NAV fluctuations.
Performs multiple simulation runs with different random seeds and provides statistically meaningful results
⚠️ Real-World Risk Factors Modeled

This simulation includes realistic drag and tail risks that affect high-yield strategies like $MSTY:

  • Volatility-Aware Upside Cap: Only 50% of gains above a volatility-adjusted threshold are captured. Some lost upside may be recovered via long OTM calls.
  • NAV Decay: Based on performance, volatility, and reinvestment. Decay slows in bull markets and soft-lands after 5 years.
  • Yield Compression: Yield drops during positive MSTR price trends or when NAV declines steeply.
  • Base Drag: Ongoing 2% monthly decay from operational costs.
  • Reinvestment Slippage: 5% efficiency loss when dividends are compounded.
  • Contango Events: Random 5–15% NAV drawdowns (15% chance every 6 months).
  • Market Crashes: 30–50% NAV drops (20% chance every 3 years).
  • Volatility Yield Boost: +2% monthly yield during high-volatility spikes.